History of Actuarial Profession
ثبت نشده
چکیده
A profession serves a public purpose. Consequently, an outline of the history of the actuarial profession must follow the public purposes served by actuaries in applying their basic science. The formation in London in 1762 of the Society for Equitable Assurances on Lives and Survivorships as a mutual company, initiated a process that created a public purpose for actuaries. A mutual insurance company is owned by its policyholders and is operated for their benefit. The policyholders share in the profits of their company through dividends on their policies. Ogborn [1] has written a comprehensive history of the Equitable. Because of the long-term nature of most life insurance policies, the estimation of the period profit of a mutual life insurance company involves more than counting the cash in the vault. The estimation requires a valuation of contingent liabilities involving future benefit payments less future premium payments, which may not be realized as cash payments for many years. The resulting estimate of the value of future liabilities must be subtracted from an estimate of the value of assets. The existence of market values may assist the asset valuation, but the asset valuation also involves assigning a number to the value of future uncertain payments. The difference between the estimated asset and liability values is an estimate of surplus. Increase in estimated surplus can be viewed as an initial estimate of periodic profit and as a starting point in the determinations of policy dividends. The future cash flows arising from the assets owned and the insurance liabilities owed are, however, random. To provide a suitably high probability that the promises embedded in the insurance contracts can be fulfilled, the initial estimate of the profit that might be paid as dividends may be reduced to what is called divisible surplus. This is to create the required assurance of the ultimate fulfillment of the contracts.
منابع مشابه
Technologies of trust: actuarial theory, insurance sciences, and the establishment of the welfare state in Germany and Switzerland around 1900
The article analyzes the relation between transformations in information systems and changing forms of organization. Drawing on a historical case study, it examines the rise of actuarial theory in Germany and Switzerland around 1900 and its significance für the emergence of the first modem social insurances. So rar, the history of actuarial theory hag been written as the social history of the a...
متن کاملFinancial Economics and Pension Actuaries: The U.K. Experience
There has been strong resistance within the U.K. actuarial profession against taking on board the lessons of financial economics. Nevertheless, the majority of the largest U.K. actuarial firms have significantly modified their standard approaches to actuarial valuations to take account of criticisms based on financial economics. In the meantime, the failure to come to terms with basic lessons f...
متن کاملTHE ACTUARY: THE ROLE AND LIMITATIONS OF THE PROFESSION SINCE THE MID-19th CENTURY
The history of any profession relates to the history of the division of labour in society. This is generally true and can also be attributed to expertise in the financial world a world which generates with increasing complexity growing numbers of specialists offering know-how and expertise. The competition amongst these different specialists as to whose services are the more useful, valuable or...
متن کاملCurrent Actuarial Modeling Practice and Related Issues and Questions
The future of the actuarial profession is a matter of modeling and putting models into practice. One change taking place in the profession is the realization that all actuarial techniques are founded on models and that it is the models, and not the techniques, that are important for the future of the profession. In the U.K., we recently discussed a paper, ‘‘The Future of the Profession’’ (Nowel...
متن کاملThe Actuarial Paradigm: a Nontechnical Exposition
A NONTECENICAL EXPOSITION OVERVIEW In his insightful and groundbreaking essay entitled The Structure of Scientific Revolutions, Thomas S. Kuhn discussed the notion of scientific advancement. In particular, he introduces the idea of a paradigm, a body of knowledge and beliefs which provides direction for research. The development and acceptance of a paradigm is a key factor in transforming a gro...
متن کامل